Over the last decade, Canadians have seen some of the lowest interest rates in history. This has been a huge opportunity for first-time homebuyers since low rates make the cost of borrowing cheaper and buying a home easier in some markets. There's just one issue. With interest rates so low, they can only go up. When that happens, your monthly mortgage payments may go up. This has caused anxiety among buyers since rising interest rates can affect how much they can afford.

In addition, homeowners that have variable rate mortgages may also be worried about how a potential rate hike will affect their mortgage payments. While rising interest rates are something to be aware of, there are ways you can navigate this with your mortgage. Let’s walk you through what you need to be aware of.

How do the Bank of Canada interest rates affect mortgage rates?

First you need to understand how mortgage rates are set. Most people that buy a home need a loan. This is known as a mortgage and it's an agreement between you and the lender that sets out the terms including the interest rate.

When applying for a mortgage, the interest rate you're offered depends on a few factors, such as:

  • The overnight rate set by the Bank of Canada (which is the interest rate banks borrow at and lend from each other in the market overnight)
  • Your credit rating
  • Your decision between a variable or fixed rate mortgage
  • The term or length of the mortgage

In most cases, the overnight rate set by the Bank of Canada (BoC) has the biggest effect on variable rate mortgages. When the BoC increases the overnight rate, variable rate mortgages become more expensive. On the other side of things, when the BoC decreases the rate, carrying a variable rate mortgage becomes less expensive.

Your credit rating is another important consideration when banks determine what mortgage rate they can offer to you. If you have an excellent credit score, you'll likely be approved for better rates than if you have a lower credit score.

Your credit score is a number between 300 - 900. If your credit score falls between 700 - 900, it's typically considered good. Once your credit score drops below 700, you may find it difficult to get a good rate or even be approved for a loan.

If you want to improve your credit score, you can take steps including: 

  • Paying off your debt
  • Making your payments on time
  • Making more than the minimum payments on your credit cards
  • Keeping your account balances below 35% of your available credit

What is the current Bank of Canada rate and how often can it change?

Since the Bank of Canada can change interest rates eight times a year, it's best to check their Policy Interest Rate page for the most up to date information on their current rate.

When are the Bank of Canada interest rate announcements in 2022?

The Bank of Canada makes eight announcements a year about their target overnight rate. Generally speaking, it usually falls on Wednesdays. The announcement schedule for 2022 is below:

  • Wednesday, January 26
  • Wednesday, March 2
  • Wednesday, April 13
  • Wednesday, June 1
  • Wednesday, July 13
  • Wednesday, September 7
  • Wednesday, October 26
  • Wednesday, December 7

How do interest rate hikes affect inflation?

When interest rates are higher, they encourage people to save. Since it is a good time for people to save, less borrowing and spending tends to happen. When this happens, companies may increase their prices at a slower pace or even lower prices to get people to spend again. This reduces inflation since the costs of goods aren’t going up in price as quickly as they would otherwise.

Lower interest rates work in the opposite way. Not only does it cost less to borrow money when interest rates are low, but you also earn less from keeping your money in savings, which means you may end up spending more money. This increase in consumer spending could cause prices to rise as consumers are willing to pay more.

The Bank of Canada actively uses interest rate increases and decreases to control inflation. The BoC tries to keep inflation at 2% a year as most of the population can handle that level of year over year change.

What does a potential rate hike mean for your mortgage?

A potential rate hike will affect you in different ways depending on if you're a first-time homebuyer or if you already own.

For first-time homebuyers, any increase in interest rates will reduce how much home you can afford. That's because your carrying costs (a.k.a. your costs for owning a property) will increase.

For example, let's say you need a $500,000 mortgage and the interest rate is 3%. Your monthly payment would be $2,366 on a 25-year amortization. However, if the interest rate was 4%, your monthly payment would be $2,630. That would mean you would have to pay an additional $264 each month.

Current homeowners that have a variable rate mortgage would also be affected. At Scotiabank, you can either have an adjustable variable rate that fluctuates as BoC rates rise or you could have a variable rate with Cap Rate Protection. A Cap Rate Protection mortgage has fixed payments for the term of the mortgage that are calculated based on a cap rate rather than the current variable rate; as rates rise more of your payments would go towards interest, and less to the principal. However, if you have an adjustable variable rate, the amount you're paying would change as interest rates rise.

A fixed rate mortgage customer would see no impact from a BoC rate increase during the term of their mortgage.  

What are the key differences between variable and fixed rate mortgages?

When determining what is the right mortgage rate for you, you will decide between a fixed and a variable rate. Each one has its own pros and cons so it is important to understand how each one works to make the best decision for you.

Variable rate mortgage

Lower initial interest rate compared to a fixed rate mortgage

Benefit from continued lower interest rate while there are no BoC rate increases

If you have a capped payment plan; when interest rates decrease, more of your payments go towards the principal

If you have a adjustable payment plan; as interest rates decrease, your monthly payment will decrease

Can be converted to a fixed rate mortgage of the same term length or greater at any time with no prepayment charge

If you have a capped payment plan; as interest rates increase, more of your payments go towards interest

If you have a adjustable payment plan; as interest rates increase, your monthly payment will increase 

Fixed rate mortgage

Same payments for the entire term of your mortgage; benefiting from locking in a favourable rate without the risk of being impacted by BoC rate hikes

Easy to understand and manage as payments are fixed and principal paid down by the end of the term is known

Higher initial rate compared to a variable rate mortgage

There is a prepayment charge to break your mortgage that is usually higher than for a variable rate mortgage cancellation

Generally speaking, fixed rate mortgages are ideal for people who want the security of knowing that the payments will remain the same over the term of their mortgage. Variable rate mortgages will hold appeal to people as the initial interest rate is lower than fixed rate mortgages (depending on the current overnight rate) and offer greater flexibility than locking in a fixed rate. There is the potential to pay less interest over the term of your mortgage with a variable rate mortgage if the BoC has little to modest rate hikes.

What's the difference between open and closed mortgages?

Open mortgages have flexible payment options; you can increase your payments by any amount, at any time, with no prepayment charges. With closed mortgages, there is less flexibility to adjust or make additional payments to your mortgage. Typically, with closed mortgages you have the opportunity to make an additional lump sum payment (up to a capped amount) or increase your payments (up to a capped amount) once a year; any further payments would come with a fee. Since you can make payments as you please with an open mortgage, the interest rate is usually higher than a closed mortgage.

Closed mortgages are more common in Canada since they usually come with a lower interest rate. Choosing an open mortgage is ideal for people that are expecting extra funds shortly that can be used to pay down their mortgage; this could include an inheritance, proceeds from a sale of a home, or a work bonus.

What can you do when there is rate volatility?

Despite the fact that interest rates can increase or decrease at any time, there are a few ways that you can protect yourself.

Get pre-approved for a mortgage

If you're in the process of looking for a home, you can get pre-approved for a mortgage. By doing this, you'll know exactly how much a lender is willing to extend to you and what your interest rate and terms will be. The rates you get with a pre-approved mortgage are typically locked in for a set period (such as 90 to 120 days). This allows you to shop for a home knowing that an interest rate increase won't affect you whilst you are locked in. With Scotiabank eHOME, this process has been simplified for you so that you can get pre-approved digitally from the comfort of your home within minutes.1

Choose a fixed rate mortgage

If fluctuating mortgage rates give you anxiety, a straightforward solution is to choose a fixed rate mortgage. All of your payments will remain the same for the entire length of your term, so there won't be any need to worry about interest rates for at least a few years.

Convert to a fixed rate mortgage

Most variable rate mortgages will allow you to convert to a fixed rate mortgage. You would have to speak with your lender to see what the steps are and if there are any penalties or fees that you'd have to pay.

Can’t decide between a fixed or variable mortgage?

You don’t have to feel tied down by the decision. With Scotiabank’s Scotia Total Equity® Plan (STEP), you can protect against interest rate changes by customizing your mortgage solution to your risk tolerance.2 STEP allows customers to combine up to three different mortgages with either a fixed or variable rate as well as with different terms or length for each mortgage. A ScotiaLine® is another option with STEP that can provide additional flexibility as there is no term or length associated with a line of credit. 

What happens with my Scotiabank variable mortgage if there is a rate increase?

If you have a variable rate mortgage, when the prime interest rate increases, this means that your mortgage payment may be higher, which could impact your cashflow and budget.

Scotia advisors can clearly outline your options and work with you to decide on the best path forward. Contact your advisor to help choose the right mortgage option for you. 

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